International Crisis Group’s 18 February 2026 briefing advertises itself as conflict prevention. In reality, it performs something closer to narrative management: it repackages Ethiopia’s Red Sea ambition as a “grievance” to be accommodated, while keeping Eritrea boxed into the f
The lazy framing is already being warmed up: “tensions are rising,” “neighbours trade claims,” “both sides must de-escalate.” It sounds responsible. It reads balanced. And it quietly deletes the one fact that matters: one side has spent years normalising war talk as policy. If y
Abiy Ahmed tried to stage the usual Addis photo-op when Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan arrived. But the camera caught something different: a stiff, guarded prime minister sitting beside a visitor who didn’t look like he came for flattery. What played out at the joint app
Some victories are celebrated once. Others are lived—every day—like a vow you can’t afford to break. At Twalet, the Tanks Don’t Rust In Massawa, the Red Sea air has a way of softening everything—except memory. You can feel it near Twalet, where three tanks stand fixed as a monume
The African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC) has issued one of its clearest sovereignty statements on Somalia in years—explicitly condemning Israel’s unilateral recognition of the “so-called Republic of Somaliland,” demanding it be revoked, and warning that no actor has the
Sudan’s ambassador to Eritrea, Osman Ahmed Abdul Bari , has used a letter published Thursday by Eritrea’s Ministry of Information website Shabait to cast Sudan–Eritrea relations as a “firm partnership” shaped by shared history, borderland ties, and converging views on sovereig
Eritrea’s Ministry of Information has dismissed Ethiopia’s latest diplomatic message as “patently false and fabricated,” rejecting what it described as a familiar two-year pattern of hostile campaigns — and pointedly refusing to be pulled into public escalation. In a short press
Ethiopia’s Foreign Ministry has sent Eritrea a formal letter dated 7 February 2026 that reads less like a genuine diplomatic outreach and more like a paper trail for escalation. It accuses Eritrea of “occupying Ethiopian territory,” of providing “material assistance” to militan
An open letter from former Ethiopian foreign minister Gedu Andargachew has directly contradicted Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s claim in parliament that Gedu was dispatched to Eritrea to convey Abiy’s concerns about alleged abuses against civilians in Tigray. Abiy’s parliamentar
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed stood in Ethiopia’s parliament today and tried a quiet pivot: the standoff with Eritrea, he argued, isn’t really about Ethiopia’s campaign for “access to the sea.” It’s about alleged Eritrean crimes during the Tigray war—claims he bundled into a single s
On Thursday Jan. 30 2026, Eritrea's Information Minister Yemane G. Meskel cut through weeks of Addis Ababa’s noisy “sovereign sea access” messaging with a blunt reminder: access to ports is commerce and transit — not entitlement, not “historical destiny,” and not a blank cheque f
South Sudan, the world's youngest nation, is teetering on the brink of a devastating return to full-scale war. While international attention is often diverted, the country is experiencing a severe political, humanitarian, and security crisis, fuelled by a collapsing peace deal, v
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