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Latest Horn of Africa geopolitics coverage and analysis.
At the 81st UN General Assembly, President Taye Atske Selassie blamed “reckless external actors” for instability in the Horn — two days after seven Ethiopian armed groups formed an alliance against Abiy Ahmed's government. The record at home, the dispute with Eritrea and questions over Sudan tell a more complicated story.
The African Union and the United States issued urgent statements after Tigrayan forces took the airports in Mekelle, Axum and Shire and seven Ethiopian opposition groups began coordinating against Abiy Ahmed's government.
Eritrea has welcomed Washington’s removal of Ethiopia-related sanctions on key Eritrean institutions and officials, while signaling that preliminary contacts are already laying the groundwork for broader talks with the United States on investment, trade and bilateral relations.
Tigrayan forces have taken control of Mekelle's Alula Aba Nega airport three days after the TPLF joined seven other Ethiopian opposition movements in an alliance aiming to remove Abiy Ahmed's government.
The African Union and United Nations met in New York on September 21 to discuss preventive diplomacy across Africa, but Ethiopia was absent from the published list of crises even as a seven-group armed alliance moved to remove Abiy Ahmed's government.
Sudan is consumed by war, Ethiopia faces renewed armed confrontation, Somalia still battles al-Shabaab and Yemen remains mired in conflict. ACLED's Conflict Index places Eritrea well outside the region's main concentrations of political violence, a trajectory the essay argues deserves serious, evidence-based study rather than uncritical praise or blanket condemnation.
Seven Ethiopian political and armed opposition organizations, among them Fano, the Oromo Liberation Army, the TPLF and the ONLF, have announced the Ethiopian Popular Forces Alliance for Survival, pledging to remove the Prosperity Party government and install an inclusive transitional administration under a Transitional Charter.
Egypt's president and the CIA director used talks in Cairo to put Sudan, Somalia, the Horn of Africa and Red Sea maritime security alongside Gaza, Iran and intelligence cooperation on a single regional agenda.
Eritrea has welcomed Washington's decision to end the sanctions imposed in 2021, calling the measures unjustified while signalling that the reversal could open the way to more constructive relations with the United States.
The United States has lifted sanctions on the Eritrean Defense Forces, the PFDJ and four other Eritrean entities and individuals after the national emergency underpinning the 2021 Ethiopia-related sanctions program expired without a continuation notice.
The United States has completed the formal removal of Ethiopia from its arms-export restrictions, while the national emergency underpinning the 2021 U.S. sanctions framework targeting Eritrean entities appears to have expired without a publicly identifiable continuation notice.
Port imperialism has become a central claim in Eritrean arguments against foreign logistics concessions at Red Sea gateways. This analysis weighs that critique against the commercial realities facing Massawa and Assab, and asks where sovereign defence ends and self-inflicted isolation begins.