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Tracking Ethiopia's sea-access ambitions, port politics, regional responses, and Horn of Africa security implications.
If you only read Addis Ababa’s 2 October letter to the UN, you’d think Ethiopia is a beleaguered neighbor fending off an Eritrean onslaught and some shadowy “Tsimdo” plot. Reality is less theatrical and far more documented: for a full year Ethiopia’s leadership has normalized tal
When "Think Tanks" Drift Into Fantasy It is often said that politics in the Horn of Africa suffers from a chronic shortage of clear-eyed realism and an overabundance of wishful thinking. Few recent publications capture this affliction as vividly as a September 30 essay by Horn R
When Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed takes the podium, the script rarely changes: bold promises, sweeping reforms, and the announcement of yet another mega-project that will allegedly transform Ethiopia into a continental powerhouse. From unveiling a sovereign wealth fund cl
The United Nations General Assembly’s 80th session saw a fierce exchange of words between Egypt and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) and wider regional disputes, with Cairo delivering a scathing rebuttal that left Addis Ababa’s delegation on the defensive.
Eritrea’s Foreign Minister Osman Saleh has held a series of high-level meetings on the sidelines of the 80th UN General Assembly, signaling renewed momentum in the country’s international engagement after years of strained ties. On Wednesday, Saleh met with Massad Fares Boulos, S
Eritrea has sharply condemned what it calls a “political frenzy” by Ethiopia’s ruling Prosperity Party (PP), accusing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government of deliberately manufacturing a regional crisis around access to the Red Sea. In a statement posted on X, Eritrea’s Ministe
On September 8, ahead of the inauguration of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed once again ignited regional tensions by declaring on state-run EBC that “it is only a matter of time before Ethiopia regains control of the Red Sea port o
There are battlefields defined by tanks and trenches, and there are those fought in boardrooms, backchannels, and behind closed doors - silent but no less brutal. The Red Sea corridor is one such battleground. It is not simply a waterway. It is the spine of global commerce, the
In Addis Ababa’s echo chamber, the Prosperity Party (PP) has just wrapped up its latest congress - a marathon of self-congratulation, selective history, and veiled threats. Between grandiose claims of “victories” and recycled conspiracy theories about “historical enemies,” one li
At the Third UN Conference on Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) held in Awaza, Turkmenistan, Eritrea delivered a firm and forward-looking statement reaffirming its commitment to regional cooperation, international law, and the dignity of sovereign nations. While addressing
There’s an old Eritrean saying: “The sling utters a shrill cry while hitting its prey.” This is the essence of Ethiopia’s latest campaign against Eritrea - a shrill, dishonest cry to conceal an act of provocation. At a time when Ethiopia teeters under the weight of its own fai
The Case of the So-Called “Eritrean Afar National Congress” In yet another flagrant act of subversion, the Ethiopian government under Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed appears to be nurturing yet another destabilization front — this time in the name of the so-called "Eritrean Afar Nation