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Horn of Africa security

Latest Horn of Africa security coverage and analysis.

How Addis Ababa Is Building a War Narrative Against Eritrea

From the language of “return” to insinuations about Barentu, Ethiopia's ruling party is recasting territorial revisionism as reluctant self-defence. On 11 August,  Fana Media Corporation asked  whether Ethiopia's return to its “historic Red Sea coastline” was imminent. The most r

Pretoria Was an Alliance Reversal, Not a Peace Deal

The 2022 accord stopped the federal–TPLF war. It also dissolved the coalition that had defeated the TPLF, excluded Eritrea and Amhara from the settlement, and moved the unresolved conflict into a more dangerous regional phase. The most consequential fact about the Pretoria Agreem

The Red Sea Is Catching Up With Eritrea

As attacks return to one of the world’s most important shipping corridors, outside powers are rediscovering a doctrine Asmara has advanced for years: the Red Sea cannot be secured sustainably without capable, sovereign littoral states. The latest diplomatic attention directed tow

Sudan Sentences Hemedti and Top RSF Commanders to Death

A Sudanese court sentenced RSF leader Hemedti and 15 others to death for war crimes related to the killing of West Darfur governor Khamis Abdallah Abakar. This marks the first court ruling against Hemedti since the conflict began in April 2023.

Eritrea: A Beacon of Resilience in the Horn of Africa

The Horn of Africa is often a region discussed in the context of instability, civil wars, and external interventions. Yet amidst this chaos, Eritrea stands as a testament to resilience, sovereignty, and peace.  Despite facing decades of hostile predictions and outright campaigns

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