There are moments in diplomacy when silence is louder than words. And there are moments when a picture—deliberately chosen, officially circulated—does more damage than a thousand speeches. The map displayed this week in a video released by Ethiopia’s Prime Minister’s Office belon
The International Rescue Committee’s latest Global Humanitarian Crisis Watchlist offers a sobering snapshot of the world heading into 2026. Ethiopia now ranks among the top five most at-risk countries globally — alongside Sudan, Palestine, and South Sudan. This is not a symboli
Twenty-five years after the signing of the Algiers Agreement, the United Nations Secretary-General has once again urged Eritrea and Ethiopia to “respect the border pact.” On the surface, the message sounds balanced, even responsible. But anniversaries are not just moments for rit
There are moments in political life when a leader inadvertently reveals the architecture of his worldview. Sometimes it comes dressed in eloquence; sometimes it leaks out through a metaphor so coarse, so naked in intent, that it cannot be brushed off as a slip of the tongue. Abiy
When the United States released its National Security Strategy in November 2025, most observers fixated on China, Russia, EU and the shifting landscape in the Middle East. Few looked at the final pages—three compressed paragraphs under “Africa”—where Washington quietly rewrote ho
For anyone who has followed the AU’s behavior over the last two decades, the events of December 4 in Ethiopia were not shocking. They were simply the latest chapter in a long, predictable pattern: the African Union being instrumentalized by whichever Ethiopian government happens
The Resurgence of an Imperial Ghost The political landscape of the Horn of Africa was jolted in late 2023 by the resurgence of a decades-old ambition emanating from Addis Ababa. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government began a concerted campaign, articulating what it framed as Ethi
For nearly two decades, the world was fed a simple story: Eritreans were fleeing “en masse,” and neighbouring African states generously opened their doors. In Europe’s capitals, this narrative fit neatly into pre-existing political agendas. But behind the headlines and donor broc
Eritrea’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Nov. 23, 2025 has issued one of its most comprehensive and forceful rebukes to date of Ethiopia’s ongoing campaign for “sovereign access” to the Red Sea, accusing Addis Ababa of reviving old expansionist doctrines under new language and at
Within a few hours this week, a nearly identical paragraph began marching across Ethiopian state-linked accounts on X and Facebook. From the Ethiopian Embassy in Tokyo to embassy pages in Beijing and other missions, from MFA-adjacent pages to partisan activists, the same text app
Ethiopia’s Prosperity Party officials and elites have been making a flurry of claims and declarations the past few months with respect to their aspirations on the Red Sea. They use the term “sea access” to cloak their real intent of asserting control over a coastline. This obsess
Speaking on a radio show in Mbale this week, Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni moved from economic complaints to open strategic language. He argued that Uganda is “entitled” to the Indian Ocean, using a condominium analogy: if Africa is a block of flats, he said, the compound —
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