Abiy Ahmed’s Red Sea Fantasies: Manufactured Conflicts and the Isolation of a Failing RegimeBahti Meskerem: From Adal’s First Shots to Eritrea’s Unbroken Path of SovereigntyThe Red Sea Corridor and the Battle for the Region’s SoulEritrea 2024: UN Report Shows a Nation Advancing on Its Own TermsEthiopia’s “Sea Gate” Delusion: The Prosperity Party’s Dangerous Gamble Against International LawFrom Dust to Harvest: How Eritrea’s Community Dams Are Greening the DesertEritrea at the UN: Sovereignty, Cooperation, and the Red Sea FallacyEthiopia–Eritrea: Lies, Diversions, and the Abyss AheadTrump Signals Reset: US–Eritrea Relations Enter a New PhaseThe Guardian’s Manufactured Outrage: A Political Hit Piece Against EritreaAbiy Ahmed’s Red Sea Fantasies: Manufactured Conflicts and the Isolation of a Failing RegimeBahti Meskerem: From Adal’s First Shots to Eritrea’s Unbroken Path of SovereigntyThe Red Sea Corridor and the Battle for the Region’s SoulEritrea 2024: UN Report Shows a Nation Advancing on Its Own TermsEthiopia’s “Sea Gate” Delusion: The Prosperity Party’s Dangerous Gamble Against International LawFrom Dust to Harvest: How Eritrea’s Community Dams Are Greening the DesertEritrea at the UN: Sovereignty, Cooperation, and the Red Sea FallacyEthiopia–Eritrea: Lies, Diversions, and the Abyss AheadTrump Signals Reset: US–Eritrea Relations Enter a New PhaseThe Guardian’s Manufactured Outrage: A Political Hit Piece Against Eritrea
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Somalia

Illegal Moves Against Somalia: The Geopolitical Struggle Over Somaliland

By Mesob Staff••03 min read
Illegal Moves Against Somalia: The Geopolitical Struggle Over Somaliland
Somalia Map via. Google Maps

Somalia occupies a unique place in Africa. Unlike many other nations on the continent, where multiple ethnicities, languages, and religions coexist, Somalia is defined by striking cultural unity: one language (Somali), one ethnicity, and a predominantly Muslim population. Yet this cohesion did not shield it from colonial manipulation. Instead, foreign powers exploited Somalia’s internal clan-based system—the qabil—as a lever to weaken the nation from within.

The qabil system, which organizes Somali society into major clan families such as Darod, Hawiye, Isaaq, Rahanweyn, and Dir, has long been a source of both strength and division. It shapes identity, power, and social relations, but under colonial rule it became a fault line to be exploited. Where cultural unity made “divide and conquer” difficult, clan rivalries provided an opening.

Foreign Interference and Somalia’s Collapse

In the decades after independence, Somalia became entangled in regional and international power struggles. Western powers, along with neighboring states such as Ethiopia and Djibouti, were often accused of fueling instability rather than supporting recovery.

Ethiopia in particular played a decisive role. Its 2006 invasion of Somalia—framed as a fight against terrorism—paved the way for extremist groups like Al-Shabaab to flourish. Instead of securing peace, it deepened Somalia’s crises.

Meanwhile, countries that sought to strengthen Somali sovereignty were punished. Eritrea, for example, was sanctioned on the accusation that it supported Al-Shabaab—claims later proven baseless. The sanctions were less about countering terrorism than about curbing Eritrea’s influence in Somalia’s fragile reconciliation process.

Somaliland: A New Geopolitical Flashpoint

Today, as Somalia rebuilds and reasserts its sovereignty, fresh challenges are emerging. Chief among them is the question of Somaliland, the northern region that has declared itself independent but remains recognized internationally as part of Somalia.

Somaliland points to its colonial past under British rule and its relative stability compared to southern Somalia as grounds for independence. Yet no state or international body has recognized it as a sovereign nation.

Tensions escalated when Ethiopia recently signaled support for Somaliland’s recognition. Mogadishu condemned the move as a violation of Somalia’s sovereignty and international law. Analysts argue Ethiopia’s position is driven not by concern for Somaliland but by its own strategic interests—and by those of its key ally, the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The UAE has steadily expanded its footprint in the Horn of Africa, from involvement in Sudan’s war to securing influence over Red Sea ports. Supporting Somaliland serves this strategy, giving Abu Dhabi and Addis Ababa leverage over trade routes and maritime chokepoints.

Broader Implications

For Somalia, losing Somaliland would strike a heavy blow to its efforts at unity. Beyond that, it would set a precedent across Africa: encouraging secessionist movements and undermining borders drawn in the post-colonial era.

Somali officials have urged the international community to reject Ethiopia’s maneuvering and to uphold Somalia’s territorial integrity. They argue that foreign recognition of Somaliland would not stabilize the Horn—it would invite deeper fragmentation.

Somalia’s message is clear: it thrives when its sovereignty is respected. After decades of war and collapse, the country is slowly regaining its footing. But progress will only hold if external actors stop exploiting its internal divisions for geopolitical gain.

A Struggle Beyond Borders

The attempt to legitimize Somaliland’s secession is not just an internal Somali issue. It reflects the broader legacy of foreign interference in Africa—where local fault lines are manipulated to serve global and regional interests.

If Somalia is to rebuild as a unified state, it will require not only resilience from within but also a firm international stance in defense of its sovereignty. Allowing illegal recognition of Somaliland would weaken Somalia and destabilize the Horn of Africa as a whole.

The struggle over Somaliland is thus more than a dispute about borders. It is a test of whether African states can resist external pressure, uphold their sovereignty, and move beyond the colonial legacy of fragmentation.

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